Hey Alan......check your math (1/4)^4 = 1/256 This just doesn't seem right.......the MORE tries you make the LESS chance of your desired outcome??
I'm never quite sure about these probabilities, but let's look at it another way each try has a 3/4 chance of NOT being what you want (3/4)^4 =81/256 chance you will NOT get what you want......isn't that a 175/256 chance you WILL get what you want? I do not know.......